MSV Duisburg vs Dynamo Dresden analysis

MSV Duisburg Dynamo Dresden
69 ELO 71
7.3% Tilt 1%
1317º General ELO ranking 380º
58º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
50.4%
MSV Duisburg
25.4%
Draw
24.3%
Dynamo Dresden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.3%
Win probability
Dynamo Dresden
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MSV Duisburg
+16%
+3%
Dynamo Dresden

ELO progression

MSV Duisburg
Dynamo Dresden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2012
HAL
Hallescher FC
0 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
26%
25%
49%
70 60 10 0
12 Aug. 2012
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
2 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
32%
28%
41%
71 64 7 -1
05 Aug. 2012
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 4
VfR Aalen
VFR
65%
21%
14%
72 64 8 -1
29 Jul. 2012
MSV
MSV Duisburg
0 - 1
Twente
TWE
22%
24%
54%
71 87 16 +1
06 May. 2012
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
60%
24%
17%
71 78 7 0

Matches

Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2012
CHE
Chemnitzer
0 - 3
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
35%
26%
39%
69 63 6 0
13 Aug. 2012
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
2 - 2
1860 München
MUN
37%
27%
36%
69 74 5 0
04 Aug. 2012
BOC
VfL Bochum
2 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
53%
25%
23%
70 70 0 -1
27 Jul. 2012
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
3 - 0
West Ham
WHU
28%
26%
47%
68 81 13 +2
06 May. 2012
FSV
FSV Frankfurt
1 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
38%
27%
35%
69 64 5 -1