MSV Duisburg vs VfL Bochum analysis

MSV Duisburg VfL Bochum
68 ELO 72
3.5% Tilt 3.8%
1315º General ELO ranking 180º
58º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
40.5%
MSV Duisburg
25.7%
Draw
33.8%
VfL Bochum

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.8%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MSV Duisburg
+16%
+7%
VfL Bochum

ELO progression

MSV Duisburg
VfL Bochum
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2018
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
1 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
46%
26%
29%
70 69 1 0
28 Jul. 2018
MSV
MSV Duisburg
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
24%
24%
52%
71 86 15 -1
28 Jul. 2018
ATH
Athletic
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
69%
20%
11%
71 85 14 0
15 Jul. 2018
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
69%
20%
11%
71 85 14 0
12 Jul. 2018
MSV
MSV Duisburg
3 - 0
B. Dortmund II
BOR
80%
14%
6%
71 51 20 0

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2018
BOC
VfL Bochum
0 - 2
Köln
KOL
21%
24%
55%
72 80 8 0
28 Jul. 2018
MIL
Millwall
1 - 0
VfL Bochum
BOC
37%
25%
38%
73 73 0 -1
25 Jul. 2018
BOC
VfL Bochum
2 - 2
Monaco
MON
14%
19%
67%
73 87 14 0
22 Jul. 2018
BOC
VfL Bochum
0 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
20%
23%
57%
73 86 13 0
22 Jul. 2018
BOC
VfL Bochum
0 - 0
Wolves
WOL
38%
26%
35%
73 78 5 0