MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 1
MSV
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MSV
2 - 0
EIN
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ING
1 - 1
MSV
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
MSV
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MSV
2 - 1
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AAA
2 - 0
BOC
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ING
3 - 3
AAA
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
AAA
0 - 1
SGD
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
FSV
2 - 1
AAA
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 3
FCU
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |