MSV Duisburg U19 vs Köln U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
8º
5º
35
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BOR
1 - 0
DUI
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 1
DUI
26%
23%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DUI
1 - 0
VIK
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BON
0 - 2
DUI
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
DUI
0 - 2
ESS
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 0
PRE
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIK
2 - 0
KOL
11%
17%
73%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 0
BON
89%
8%
3%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ESS
0 - 2
KOL
10%
16%
74%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 0
SCH
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |