MSV Duisburg U19 vs B. Dortmund U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
79.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
8º
6º
35
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 16 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MER
3 - 3
DUI
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DUI
2 - 1
MEP
56%
20%
23%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 1
DUI
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DUI
0 - 4
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 4
DUI
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 2
BOR
61%
19%
20%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 3
SCH
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 0
CEL
62%
18%
20%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ESS
0 - 1
BOR
6%
12%
82%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 6
BOR
10%
15%
75%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |