MSV Duisburg U19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
12º
9º
37
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
DUI
53%
22%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 0
DUI
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DUI
4 - 0
SCV
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
DUI
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 4
DUI
63%
19%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
SCP
29%
22%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
ALA
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
BOR
9%
13%
78%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 5
ALA
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
ARM
52%
20%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |