MSV Duisburg U17 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
11º
10º
21
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MSV
0 - 3
BDO
3%
9%
88%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 1
COL
5%
13%
82%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +3 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
VFB
3 - 1
MSV
87%
10%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
MSV
0 - 6
BDO
3%
9%
88%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
MSV
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FOD
2 - 2
VFB
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SVD
2 - 4
FOD
6%
14%
79%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FOD
2 - 2
BLE
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 5
FOD
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FOD
1 - 3
S04
11%
18%
71%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |