MSV Duisburg II vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
WEG
3 - 3
MSV
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MSV
0 - 0
ERK
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 1
HUL
59%
21%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AAA
3 - 3
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -3 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
WER
2 - 1
MSV
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SPE
0 - 0
SWE
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 1
SPE
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
BER
1 - 1
SPE
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
SPE
31%
27%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SPE
0 - 3
VFB
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -4 |