MSV Duisburg II vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
WHE
0 - 1
MSV
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
BER
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 3
SPE
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
WEG
3 - 3
MSV
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MSV
0 - 0
ERK
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 0
SWE
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BER
1 - 4
ROT
13%
23%
65%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ROT
4 - 1
VEL
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
WER
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
ROT
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |