MSV Duisburg II vs Germania Windeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
WHE
3 - 1
MSV
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
3 - 1
ESS
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
MSV
1 - 2
SWE
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SOI
0 - 2
MSV
16%
19%
65%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MSV
2 - 1
GUT
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Windeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GEW
0 - 1
HUL
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
WHE
5 - 1
GEW
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
AAA
4 - 1
GEW
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 0
GEW
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GEW
1 - 1
ESS
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |