MSV Duisburg II vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
SWE
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
MSV
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 0
WER
65%
19%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 1
MSV
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 3
VEL
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAA
71%
19%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 1
SWE
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
WHE
4 - 1
AAA
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 2
BER
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 4
AAA
18%
23%
58%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |