Msida St Joseph vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MSI
1 - 0
HIB
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MSI
2 - 0
LIJ
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PIE
1 - 1
MSI
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
MSI
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MSI
1 - 1
FLO
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ZAB
2 - 0
PIE
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
LIJ
1 - 0
ZAB
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
ZAB
3 - 3
BIR
11%
19%
69%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 1
ZAB
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ZAB
3 - 2
MSI
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |