Msida St Joseph vs Birzebbuga St. Peters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
MSI
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MSI
1 - 1
MEL
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
XGH
5 - 2
MSI
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MSI
0 - 2
LUQ
24%
24%
51%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MSI
1 - 1
ATT
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BIR
5 - 2
ZEJ
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 3
BIR
32%
23%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
BIR
3 - 2
KIR
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 4
BIR
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 2
BIR
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |