Msida St Joseph vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
SLI
1 - 4
MSI
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
MSI
2 - 3
HIB
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
FTC
1 - 0
BIR
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
PIE
2 - 3
BIR
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
BIR
0 - 5
FTC
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -3 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SLI
0 - 2
BIR
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +2 |