MSC vs SWZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RIG
2 - 0
MSC
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MSC
0 - 2
LON
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BEQ
2 - 1
MSC
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAB
2 - 4
MSC
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MSC
3 - 2
RKH
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SWZ
3 - 5
RKH
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UDI
3 - 1
SWZ
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 2
ROH
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SCN
0 - 1
SWZ
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SWZ
5 - 1
WKE
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +4 |