MSC vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
MSC
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MSC
5 - 0
SWZ
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MSC
1 - 0
HOO
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 1
MSC
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MSC
2 - 1
ROH
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FVC
0 - 2
QUI
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
JOU
5 - 2
FVC
21%
21%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FVC
2 - 3
SCN
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LON
2 - 3
FVC
43%
22%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FVC
5 - 2
RKH
26%
22%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |