MSC vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SCE
2 - 2
MSC
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MSC
4 - 0
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VVA
1 - 1
MSC
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MSC
1 - 1
SVB
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
NIE
2 - 0
MSC
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
FVC
1 - 3
CVV
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VAA
4 - 2
FVC
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FVC
0 - 3
SCE
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FVC
2 - 3
BER
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
HOO
2 - 1
FVC
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |