MSC vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
48.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RKH
7 - 2
MSC
44%
22%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AWC
4 - 1
MSC
43%
21%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MSC
1 - 4
DEM
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
DEB
2 - 2
MSC
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MSC
1 - 1
SDO
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FWO
1 - 1
DEB
55%
20%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
HOO
1 - 1
FWO
33%
22%
45%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FWO
1 - 0
SDO
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AWC
2 - 5
FWO
39%
21%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FWO
0 - 1
RKZ
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |