MSC vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MSC
4 - 1
RIG
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MSC
3 - 1
ACH
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DIE
2 - 1
MSC
25%
21%
54%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MSC
4 - 1
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 1
MSC
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 1
BEQ
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SIL
0 - 0
ALV
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALV
5 - 0
RIG
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 2
DEB
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALV
7 - 1
ACH
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |