MSC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VVE
0 - 2
MSC
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
JOS
6 - 0
MSC
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ALP
8 - 1
MSC
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MSC
1 - 6
QUI
18%
19%
64%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BEQ
5 - 0
MSC
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALC
3 - 0
RKV
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SJC
4 - 0
ALC
83%
10%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 2
LEO
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 3
HOO
15%
17%
67%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HOL
3 - 2
ALC
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |