MSC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
HOO
3 - 1
MSC
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MSC
0 - 2
SIL
57%
21%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MSC
3 - 0
BEQ
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RKZ
4 - 2
MSC
50%
20%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MSC
1 - 0
RKH
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 5
DEM
32%
25%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 0
PUR
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HOO
3 - 2
ALC
54%
21%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HOO
2 - 1
ALC
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 0
SIL
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |