MSC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 1
MSC
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MSC
2 - 2
RKH
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
MSC
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MSC
6 - 2
ROH
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JUL
3 - 2
MSC
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 2
BEQ
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
RIG
2 - 1
ALC
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
DEB
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALV
3 - 0
ALC
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
ACH
56%
23%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |