MSC vs AFC Arhem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BEQ
0 - 1
MSC
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MSC
0 - 1
SWZ
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RKH
3 - 2
MSC
32%
23%
44%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MSC
2 - 0
SCN
74%
15%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 3
MSC
27%
23%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ARH
2 - 1
JUL
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FVC
2 - 2
ARH
47%
22%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARH
2 - 5
QUI
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RKH
1 - 1
ARH
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GER
3 - 1
ARH
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |