Pardes Hanna-Karkur vs Ihud Bnei Baka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
15º
15º
31
4º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pardes Hanna-Karkur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
BHJ
3 - 0
MSP
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
MSP
1 - 4
MNS
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 0
MSP
64%
18%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MSP
2 - 3
HBF
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MTH
3 - 1
MSP
80%
12%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ihud Bnei Baka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
IBB
1 - 1
MNS
39%
22%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 4
IBB
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
IBB
1 - 4
HTH
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
HBM
2 - 0
IBB
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
IBB
0 - 4
MAI
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |