MS ABDB vs LLRC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
WIJ
0 - 1
MSA
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
PDB
1 - 2
MSA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
QAF
1 - 1
MSA
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
MSA
6 - 0
WIJ
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
MSA
1 - 0
MAJ
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
LLRC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
LLR
1 - 5
IND
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2012 |
KIL
0 - 3
LLR
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LLR
7 - 5
NAJ
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
LLR
0 - 3
WIJ
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
KKS
2 - 1
LLR
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |