MS ABDB vs LLRC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 3
MSA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MSA
3 - 1
QAF
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
WIJ
1 - 4
MSA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
MSA
7 - 0
AHU
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
MAJ
0 - 2
MSA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
LLRC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LLR
0 - 3
MAJ
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |