MS ABDB vs Kasuka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
34.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IKL
0 - 4
MSA
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
0 - 5
MSA
16%
17%
66%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MSA
7 - 1
SPE
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PMU
0 - 3
MSA
14%
16%
70%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MSA
2 - 0
IKL
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kasuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PMU
0 - 9
KAS
10%
13%
76%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 0
AKS
74%
15%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 10
KAS
7%
11%
82%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BAW
0 - 11
KAS
19%
18%
63%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RST
0 - 4
KAS
22%
19%
59%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |