MS ABDB vs Kasuka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MSA
0 - 2
BAW
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MSA
1 - 0
KOR
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
WIJ
1 - 2
MSA
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
MSA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +18 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
MSA
5 - 0
WIJ
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kasuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
KAS
3 - 1
IND
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
KAS
4 - 0
NAJ
80%
12%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 11
KAS
10%
15%
75%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TEB
1 - 1
KAS
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +7 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
PDB
2 - 2
KAS
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |