MS ABDB vs Bakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IKL
0 - 4
MSA
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
0 - 5
MSA
16%
17%
66%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MSA
7 - 1
SPE
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PMU
0 - 3
MSA
14%
16%
70%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MSA
2 - 0
IKL
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
0 - 10
IND
11%
13%
76%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
1 - 1
BAW
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PMU
3 - 4
BKA
54%
20%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
0 - 5
MSA
16%
17%
66%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KBE
2 - 1
BKA
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |