MS ABDB vs Bakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
WIJ
1 - 2
MSA
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
KBE
1 - 1
MSA
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
WIJ
1 - 1
MSA
28%
23%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -19 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MSA
6 - 0
IKL
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MSA
1 - 3
KOR
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Bakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
BKA
1 - 9
KOR
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
DPM
16 - 1
BKA
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
BKA
3 - 4
WIJ
40%
22%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BKA
2 - 1
RST
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BSR
3 - 1
BKA
54%
20%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |