MS ABDB vs AM Gunners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
NBT
0 - 2
MSA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
QAF
1 - 1
MSA
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
MSA
3 - 0
WIJ
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
AHU
0 - 11
MSA
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
MSA
4 - 0
MAJ
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AM Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
AMG
4 - 0
BSR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
AHU
1 - 3
AMG
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
AMG
4 - 2
IND
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
JER
1 - 5
AMG
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
AMG
1 - 0
NBT
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |