Cape Town City FC vs TS Galaxy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
16º
16º
35
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
2 - 0
MPU
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
PIR
2 - 1
MPU
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
MPU
0 - 2
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MAG
2 - 0
MPU
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
MPU
1 - 1
GOL
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
TS Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
TSG
2 - 0
GOL
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SUN
4 - 1
TSG
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
TSG
2 - 3
SFC
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
TSG
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
TSG
1 - 0
SUN
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |