Cape Town City FC vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
10º
6º
35
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
45.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
84.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
MPU
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MPU
0 - 1
AMA
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 2
MPU
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MPU
0 - 0
CHI
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RKF
2 - 0
MPU
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 1
RKF
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PIR
7 - 1
GOL
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
2 - 2
SSU
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GOL
2 - 1
RIB
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
GOL
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |