Mpulungu Harbour vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
MUF
1 - 0
RED
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
RED
2 - 1
NCH
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
EAG
1 - 1
RED
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
RED
1 - 2
NKA
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
NKW
0 - 0
RED
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |