Mozambique U20 vs Lesoto U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAU
2 - 1
MOZ
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MAU
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
MOZ
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lesoto U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MLI
1 - 1
LSO
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
RSA
2 - 1
LSO
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
EGY
2 - 0
LSO
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | -1 |