Movera A vs Monegrillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Movera A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ABI
2 - 1
MOV
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOV
0 - 4
RIH
45%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RAN
4 - 0
MOV
61%
18%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MOV
1 - 0
FCD
43%
22%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EBR
2 - 3
MOV
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monegrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OAN
1 - 2
MON
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MON
4 - 1
OLI
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
GRI
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ACU
2 - 3
MON
22%
20%
59%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MON
5 - 0
SIR
60%
18%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |