Moutier vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
MOU
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
LER
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
OLT
1 - 0
MOU
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MOU
0 - 4
SCH
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 0
MOU
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
THU
2 - 1
WOH
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 6
THU
39%
22%
40%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
THU
1 - 0
FCK
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
THU
1 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LER
2 - 2
THU
24%
22%
55%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |