Moutier vs Reinach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCK
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TIM
2 - 0
MOU
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
TAV
3 - 3
MOU
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 1
BIN
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 1
MOU
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reinach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2018 |
REI
1 - 1
TAV
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
REI
2 - 0
FCK
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
BIE
6 - 2
REI
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REI
3 - 2
BER
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 0
REI
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |