Moutier vs Gränichen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 2
MOU
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
FCK
0 - 3
MOU
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 3
DUL
82%
12%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DUR
1 - 1
MOU
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WOH
1 - 1
MOU
34%
22%
44%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
WOH
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
3 - 1
GRA
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 3
THU
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
GRA
41%
23%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LER
4 - 2
GRA
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |