Moutier vs Spiez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MOU
2 - 6
MUT
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 0
MOU
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MOU
1 - 1
BUB
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 2
MOU
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MOU
1 - 2
LIE
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
CON
40%
21%
40%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 0
FCS
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
OLD
15%
17%
69%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 2
TAV
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LIE
4 - 3
FCS
53%
20%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |