Moutier vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 1
BAS
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 2
MOU
40%
23%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 0
COL
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCW
1 - 1
MOU
11%
17%
72%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FCT
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 4
FCG
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCG
4 - 1
ZOF
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LUZ
4 - 1
FCG
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCG
1 - 2
FCK
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 4
FCG
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +3 |