Mousehole AFC vs Yate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
9º
6º
50
8º
19º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 44 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 41 |
17º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 35 |
18º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 34 |
19º
|
72% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 27 |
20º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BID
1 - 1
MAF
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 1
MAF
20%
19%
61%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
EXM
2 - 2
MAF
15%
18%
67%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
MAF
4 - 0
WUN
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 1
BEM
34%
21%
45%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Yate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
YAT
3 - 0
BEM
25%
20%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
YAT
4 - 1
LAR
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MAL
0 - 0
YAT
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
YAT
1 - 1
BRI
27%
21%
51%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
PAU
1 - 0
YAT
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |