Mousehole AFC vs Willand Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
9º
6º
42
3º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 44 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 41 |
17º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 35 |
18º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 34 |
19º
|
72% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 27 |
20º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FRO
1 - 0
MAF
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
MAF
24%
20%
56%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
YAT
1 - 2
MAF
20%
19%
62%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 0
TAV
61%
19%
20%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 5
SAL
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Willand Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
LAR
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WUN
2 - 3
WIL
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 1
CRI
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
WIL
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 1
EVE
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |