Mousehole AFC vs Tavistock analysis

Mousehole AFC Tavistock
32 ELO 25
3.4% Tilt 0.5%
8925º General ELO ranking 10498º
426º Country ELO ranking 581º
ELO win probability
61.4%
Mousehole AFC
18.5%
Draw
20.1%
Tavistock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
Mousehole AFC
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
20.1%
Win probability
Tavistock
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mousehole AFC
+18%
-2%
Tavistock

Points and table prediction

Mousehole AFC
Their league position
Tavistock
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
46
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wimborne Town
79
82
86%
Frome Town
75
79
83.5%
Cribbs
66
69
69%
Bristol Manor Farm
59
62
32.5%
Hamworthy United
20º
0
62
7.5%
Mousehole AFC
58
61
40.5%
Larkhall Athletic
58
61
25%
Evesham United
51
54
48%
Yate Town
50
53
37%
Bishop's Cleeve
48
51
10º
30.5%
Malvern Town
10º
47
50
11º
32.5%
Tavistock
11º
46
49
12º
44.5%
Bideford
12º
46
47
13º
47%
Bemerton Heath
13º
43
44
14º
49%
Willand Rovers
14º
42
43
15º
24%
Bashley
15º
42
43
16º
27%
Melksham Town
16º
40
41
17º
68%
Westbury United
17º
34
35
18º
72%
Exmouth Town
18º
33
34
19º
72%
Paulton Rovers
19º
26
27
20º
99.5%
Expected probabilities
Mousehole AFC
Tavistock
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
35% 0%
Mid-table
65% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mousehole AFC
Tavistock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mousehole AFC
Mousehole AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
MAF
Mousehole AFC
3 - 0
Malvern Town
MAL
45%
21%
34%
31 33 2 0
09 Apr. 2024
MAF
Mousehole AFC
3 - 3
Melksham Town
MEL
72%
16%
12%
31 21 10 0
06 Apr. 2024
LAR
Larkhall Athletic
1 - 0
Mousehole AFC
MAF
44%
22%
34%
32 33 1 -1
26 Mar. 2024
MAF
Mousehole AFC
5 - 0
Bideford
BID
54%
21%
25%
31 30 1 +1
23 Mar. 2024
MAF
Mousehole AFC
2 - 0
Bristol Manor Farm
BRI
40%
21%
38%
29 32 3 +2

Matches

Tavistock
Tavistock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
TAV
Tavistock
1 - 3
Evesham United
EVE
42%
23%
34%
28 31 3 0
06 Apr. 2024
MAL
Malvern Town
2 - 1
Tavistock
TAV
52%
20%
28%
29 31 2 -1
01 Apr. 2024
BID
Bideford
2 - 3
Tavistock
TAV
35%
24%
41%
28 27 1 +1
27 Mar. 2024
TAV
Tavistock
3 - 3
Larkhall Athletic
LAR
43%
24%
34%
28 32 4 0
23 Mar. 2024
CRI
Cribbs
2 - 2
Tavistock
TAV
55%
21%
24%
28 34 6 0