Mousehole AFC vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MAF
3 - 1
AFC
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 4
MAF
24%
20%
56%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 0
MAF
21%
20%
59%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MAF
2 - 2
WIL
63%
18%
18%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 4
EXE
6%
12%
82%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Manor Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EVE
2 - 2
BRI
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
WUN
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 1
BRI
12%
18%
71%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FRO
3 - 3
BRI
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 2
BRI
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |