Mouscron vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VIS
1 - 3
MOU
16%
23%
60%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 1
LOM
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TUB
0 - 1
MOU
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 2
EUP
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 1
HOO
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
GEE
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 1
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
EEA
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
DES
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |