Moura vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
MOU
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
MOU
34%
28%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
COV
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOU
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCB
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
ALM
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 0
LUS
30%
22%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
LOU
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
COV
2 - 2
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |