Moura vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
50.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SES
0 - 2
MOU
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 4
MOU
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 1
ALJ
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
MOU
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 0
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
LUS
16%
22%
63%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
VAS
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
LUS
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |