Moura vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
MOU
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
ANG
46%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 1
JUV
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOU
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOU
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
LUS
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
SCF
18%
26%
57%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 3
LOU
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 5
LOU
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |