Moura vs Juventude Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOU
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOU
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 1
PIN
42%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FCB
0 - 0
MOU
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PRA
0 - 2
MOU
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Juventude Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
LUS
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 5
LOU
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
JUV
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
FCC
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
VIA
51%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |